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Wednesday, October 8, 2008

The Blackberry Storm Canadian Release. Long Term Fundamental Analysis Not So Hot For RIM.


In North America today, was the official news release of the Blackberry Storm. A sleek and sophisticated looking smart phone device, will clash in the global wireless markets against tough rival, Apple iPhone. The device will work both on GSM and CDMA networks, depending on the provider. It features 3.2 Mp camera, video recording, Haptics (a touch-response technology that lets you feel the screen and push down to make selections), horizontal and vertical screen flip, complete media features, streaming media. A very exciting new addition the the Blackberry family.


Unfortunately, the release could not have come at a worse time. With the global economy on a slowdown and the systematic failures of the United States financial markets, a massive client base of the Blackberry is drastically reduced. It is perceived that roughly 90% of the worlds major financial, banking and insurance communities trust their wireless communications to Blackberry. With the collapse of these commercial financial houses, we should see a massive reduction in RIM earnings in both handset sales, and enterprise contracts with large corporations. A confirmation of this decline is inherent in the -52% performance in the past 6 months.


Long term Put positions in the 50-40 strikes seem to be optimal.

Sunday, October 5, 2008

Feeding Frenzy! Wachovia is nothing but a piece of meat...

According to the WSJ, Wells Fargo and Citi Group have struck up an agreement to tear apart Wachovia and divide the spoils among themselves. It seems very similar to two starved dog's thrown one AAA sirloin steak. This will probably have a negative impact on WB shares on Monday but with the markets where they are, who knows. 

My original position were to hold call options on WB as this institution was perceived to go back up by March. The assets being torn apart will most likely change my play on Wachovia. We shall see tomorrow morning.

Saturday, October 4, 2008

O'Leary Global Equity Income Fund (TSX:OGE.UN) - Fund Equities


I'm still having a tough time finding the list of equities in the OGE.UN. What I have been researching for is an official source and not any of Google Finance's so-called savvy investors who post in the discussions. Unfortunately as of now, I still have come up with nothing. 

So below is a list of the fund's investments in no particular order that I was able to find.

1. Cosco Pacific Ltd. - http://www.coscopac.com.hk/eng/global/home.php - Shipping
2. Portugal Telecomhttp://www.telecom.pt/InternetResource/PTSite/UK - Telecom
3. Fosters Group - http://www.fosters.com.au/ - Alcohol Beverage Producer
4. AES Tietehttp://www.aestiete.com.br/canal44.asp - Hydro Electric Producer
5. Suburban Propane - http://www.suburbanpropane.com/ - Consumer Propane Supplier

I will endeavor to find out more of the fund's investments. Do bear in mind that the fund is actively managed by Stanton Asset Management so changes in position are managed on a daily basis.

Happy Investing.